San Juan Mountains Weather: A Little White this Weekend?

San Juan Mountains Weather: A Little White this Weekend?

SJ-Weather_withJR_small-square_webEd. note: Jerry Roberts sent this update today (Friday): Viewing the latest model runs today it looks like we could have a better shot at snow in the San Juans.  Increasing orographic winds along with cold temperatures will enhance the potential of snow production Saturday.  Since most of the models have been under-forecasting snow amounts recently we might get surprised.  Favored WNW slopes above 11,000′ could see 6-10″ of snow.” We are optimists. Thanks for the update, Jerry.

A large Pacific NW trough is pushing south today and looks like another round of decent snow for the northern and central Colorado mountains late Friday through Sunday morning.

Unfortunately this storm system is tracking too far north to do us much good, but we could catch the southern edge of the trough late Saturday possibly bringing light snow accumulations to the north side of the San Juans.  By mid-week another system is heading our way, but it’s too early to tell what’s happening with the various models.

If you check the SNOTEL sites in the San Juans they have dropped 50% the past two weeks back to average or 100%.  For this time of year we’re doing fine, but the rapid drop in Snow/Water at the various sites gives you an idea how little snow we actually receive in a winter.

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